Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 73.724736 82.932514 92.333315 102.617212 113.519647 124.704308 137.016779
2025-10-05 62.281790 75.870882 90.329851 106.730474 124.695104 143.663774 165.098523
2025-10-12 54.724674 70.817006 88.468322 109.004041 131.995587 156.726822 185.131666
2025-10-19 47.241714 64.855052 84.743712 108.425723 135.457874 165.002803 199.402327
2025-10-26 41.175874 59.841588 81.502420 107.842653 138.424433 172.308486 212.213926
2025-11-02 36.741319 56.318673 79.612143 108.468379 142.464028 180.565396 225.863466
2025-11-09 32.210778 52.255194 76.732736 107.627638 144.550269 186.391646 236.583247
2025-11-16 28.742833 49.231342 74.867817 107.777853 147.610394 193.184389 248.273995
2025-11-23 25.169220 45.754676 72.193139 106.733836 149.080583 197.996523 257.573114
2025-11-30 23.024925 44.030514 71.600338 108.133140 153.379303 206.034760 270.538766
2025-12-07 21.213329 42.614076 71.289637 109.790867 157.918569 214.303895 283.735135
2025-12-14 18.601705 39.815165 68.990031 108.797349 159.114041 218.533632 292.146297
2025-12-21 15.759840 36.436185 65.761442 106.516075 158.673678 220.807043 298.290995
2025-12-28 15.213892 36.573555 67.332679 110.459527 165.977908 232.384959 315.451748
2026-01-04 14.228918 35.914506 67.732141 112.820070 171.269211 241.518502 329.706455
2026-01-11 12.465906 33.804735 65.965788 112.223411 172.767321 246.011971 338.406011
2026-01-18 10.879528 31.822851 64.268559 111.629996 174.201362 250.377202 346.913563
2026-01-25 9.759191 30.544145 63.523683 112.267859 177.167711 256.587728 357.614526
2026-02-01 8.391297 28.642470 61.744584 111.410583 178.149104 260.315858 365.295307
2026-02-08 7.381808 27.300899 60.737772 111.563757 180.398675 265.580769 374.812255
2026-02-15 6.227633 25.497623 58.914406 110.499103 181.001895 268.762859 381.773607
2026-02-22 5.654071 24.848953 58.872597 111.926048 184.863303 275.995942 393.660258
2026-03-01 5.173702 24.344221 59.029519 113.616320 189.061748 283.646865 406.059210